Members of MOI Global enjoy complimentary access to a growing array of resources and content related to the art of intelligent investing. We are now a thriving global community of intelligent investors, connected through great ideas, thought-provoking interviews, online conferences, live member events, and much more. Who is MOI Global? In recent years, The Manual of Ideas has expanded to become more than simply “the very best investing newsletter on the planet” (Mohnish Pabrai). Our sole purpose is to serve the members of MOI Global as well as we possibly can in order to help them learn, invest intelligently, and build lifelong friendships with like-minded people. The MOI Global Editorial Team, led by John Mihaljevic, CFA, includes community builders, event organizers, writers, editors, research associates, security analysts, and fanatical member support advocates. Her 2016 TED Talk “Why You Think You’re Right–Even If You’re Wrong” has been viewed over 4 million times.Ībout The Author: MOI Global Editorial Team She is an advisor to OpenAI, works with the Open Philanthropy Project, and cofounded the Center for Applied Rationality. Julia Galef is the host of the popular Rationally Speaking podcast, where she has interviewed thinkers such as Tyler Cowen, Sean Carroll, Phil Tetlock, and Neil deGrasse Tyson. With fascinating examples ranging from how to survive being stranded in the middle of the ocean, to how Jeff Bezos avoids overconfidence, to how superforecasters outperform CIA operatives, to Reddit threads and modern partisan politics, Galef explores why our brains deceive us and what we can do to change the way we think. It’s a handful of emotional skills, habits, and ways of looking at the world-which anyone can learn. In The Scout Mindset, Galef shows that what makes scouts better at getting things right isn’t that they’re smarter or more knowledgeable than everyone else. Regardless of what they hope to be the case, above all, the scout wants to know what’s actually true. It’s to go out, survey the territory, and come back with as accurate a map as possible. Unlike the soldier, a scout’s goal isn’t to defend one side over the other. From tribalism and wishful thinking, to rationalizing in our personal lives and everything in between, we are driven to defend the ideas we most want to believe-and shoot down those we don’t. But if we want to get things right more often, argues Galef, we should train ourselves to have a “scout” mindset. In other words, we have what Julia Galef calls a “soldier” mindset. When it comes to what we believe, humans see what they want to see. A better way to combat knee-jerk biases and make smarter decisions, from Julia Galef, the acclaimed expert on rational decision-making.
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The big bands of Harry James and Charlie Spivak played the tune on radio broadcasts in 1944, and there was a 1946 recording made for Musicraft Records by vocalist Louanne Hogan. After all, it’s in the verse that the writer should be freer, for in practical terms it’s the chorus that’s being sold or promoted.”īut then again, perhaps the problem with the song was that it was too far ahead of its time in 1934. But I find it very interesting, and I approve of its experimental nature. Wilder continues: “It’s extremely difficult and very lush. It begins simply enough, but halfway through it’s almost as if the other musical side of the man couldn’t be silent and the rest of the verse was finished by Dukelsky.” Here Wilder is alluding to composer Vernon Duke’s “other” life as a composer of extended works. “The verse may be the most ambitious I’ve ever seen. It’s this very same verse that composer Alec Wilder, in his book American Popular Song, The Great Innovators 1900-1950, praises. I played it at one or two Westport get-togethers and found the listeners retreating to the bar in the middle of the verse.” Again from his autobiography he discusses the “premier” of the tune: “Both the long ‘conversational’ verse and the constantly modulating refrain contained not a particle of what the Harms (publishing company) moguls called ‘popular appeal’ the song was a genuine emotional outburst and, possibly, this genuineness accounted for its subsequent standard status. In his autobiography Passport to Paris Duke described the show as “a decent, average revue received decent, average notices.”ĭuke wrote “ Autumn in New York” while vacationing in Westport, Connecticut. Harold Murray, and the finale, “ Autumn in New York.” Only the latter remained in the show which opened on December 27, 1934, and closed five months later. Thirteen years later it rose to number 27 on the pop charts thanks to a fine vocal version by Frank Sinatra.Ĭhart information used by permission from Joel Whitburn's Pop Memories 1890-1954Ĭomposer Vernon Duke wrote three pieces for Thumbs Up!: a dance number for Hal Le Roy to tap to, a tango for J. Vernon Duke’s composition was written for the 1934 show Thumbs Up! and introduced by J. the song was a genuine emotional outburst and, possibly, this genuineness accounted for its subsequent standard status.” Dark Pact (old) to maintain the Life tap Glyph buff every 40 seconds. Under 25% HP of the mob, Shadow Bolt is replaced by Drain Soul. The doomguards and infernals will benifit this build more than any other. Use these to keep your opponents at a comfortable distance and kite them until your DoTs suck them dry. , and improve survivability considerably in both PvP and PvE. Remember to pick your minions carefully for PvP - Imp when you want raw DPS (or if you leave him passive and phase shifted, you can use him for a mana battery through ), Felhunter for casters and the Succubus for melee opponents.įor PvP spell rotations, read the Warlock PvP guide page. Remember that your Corruption and Unstable Afflictions are the only DoTs which crit, so make sure you have them up on your opponent all the time. Also remember to place Unstable Affliction last, making dispelling that stack of DoTs an unpleasant business for anyone who cares to try. If the pull has two or more mobs in it, rotate Corruption on all of them to begin with (so that the Nightfall procs begin), then rotate CoA (which is really fast because of ), then focus on one mob and drop Haunt and Unstable Affliction onto it. Use,, Shadowbolt and as fillers I always favor because it adds to the probability of a Nightfall proc (4% chance per tick while channeling), keeps your health topped up and does respectable damage. Sometimes we do things and have no idea they are sinful. It amazes me that the last words Jesus utters on this earth are for His Father to forgive us for our sins. “ Jesus said, ‘Father, forgive them, for they do not know what they are doing.’” But if we love much, we will forgive much. This makes sense considering it was God’s love for His children that caused Him to sacrifice His Son for our righteousness. But whoever has been forgiven little loves little.’ Then Jesus said to her, ‘Your sins are forgiven.’” According to this verse, love and forgiveness are connected. “‘Therefore, I tell you, her many sins have been forgiven-as her great love has shown. It would be hypocritical of us to prevent others the same access. Jesus spilled His blood so we could have access to His Father’s love. Knowing what we have received from God, we are to show the same forgiveness for others. “ This is my blood of the covenant, which is poured out for many for the forgiveness of sins.” Jesus shed His blood so we can receive God’s forgiveness for our sins. Regardless, Jesus still asks us to forgive that person, whether they ask for it or not. Why should I forgive someone for the same offense more than once? It is one thing for someone to ask for forgiveness it is another for them to be truly repentant about that behavior. Not only do we have to forgive others, but we may have to forgive the same person multiple times. “When Peter came to Jesus and asked, ‘Lord, how many times shall I forgive my brother or sister who sins against me? Up to seven times?’ Jesus answered, ‘I tell you, not seven times, but seventy-seven times.’” This means showing grace to people who don’t deserve it, which starts with forgiving those who have wronged us. But if you do not forgive others their sins, your Father will not forgive your sins.”These are harsh words! These are Jesus’ words to those who think they can have a relationship with God without doing the hard work of becoming a disciple. “ For if you forgive other people when they sin against you, your heavenly Father will also forgive you. Think of it this way: every time we forgive because we have been forgiven, we are one step closer to Jesus’ return and His restoration of the earth to the way God intended it to be. Part of the work God expects us to do to usher in His kingdom is to forgive as we have been forgiven. Then we should ask for His kingdom work to be done here on earth as it is in heaven. First, we should honor His name by proclaiming how holy He is. This is part of the way Jesus tells us we should pray. “…And forgive us our debts, as we also have forgiven our debtors.” Mercy, by definition, is “compassion or forgiveness shown toward someone whom it is within one's power to punish or harm.” When our offender deserves punishment and we choose to show compassion, we demonstrate the same love God demonstrated to us, since our deeds deserved death until Christ’s sacrifice on the cross. When we forgive, we show mercy to our debtor. Although we sin against God, He chooses to show us mercy by forgiving our sins. “ The Lord our God is merciful and forgiving, even though we have rebelled against him.”įorgiveness and mercy are inextricably linked. If God can choose to forget our sins, so can we. God, who has infinite knowledge, chooses to remember our sins no more. Forgetting is choosing to never bring up the offense again. Forgiveness is letting someone off the hook for their offense. I have heard many people say, “I can forgive but I can’t forget.”įorgiveness is not the same as forgetting. Review the past for me, let us argue the matter together state the case for your innocence.” “I, even I, am he who blots out your transgressions, for my own sake, and remembers your sins no more. Instead, we are to forgive others and leave vengeance to God. Yet, God says it is He who gets vengeance, not us. We are playing judge and jury for others, exacting the punishment we think they should receive for their sin. By holding a grudge, we are refusing to release that person from their self-made prison. When we refuse to forgive others, we are doing exactly what this verse claims. “ Do not seek revenge or bear a grudge against anyone among your people but love your neighbor as yourself. I am the Lord.” Save time editing videos by using auto captions and tools to extract to. Give your video a quick preview and hit Export. elementor-kit-3.elementor-widget-accordion. Easy steps to export and download the Capcut subtitles or captions into SRT format. Customize the color, size and style, and much more of your subtitles. Selecting a region changes the language and/or content on to Add Subtitles to a Video (Ultimate Guide) » This article introduces the best 10 video players with. The captions could be enough to draw them in. Subtitles play a vital role in a video or movie, especially when we watching foreign movies. These are better for Instagram, TikTok, or Facebook videos that people might be scrolling over without sound. Once you submit your video, you can choose your preferred option. Download your subtitle video and share it online with audiences. Choose language and subtitle styles and then start generating subtitles. SRT (Secure Reliable Transport) is a royalty-free, open-source video streaming transport protocol that delivers secure low-latency streaming performance over noisy or unpredictable (lossy) networks such as the public internet. These are useful for Vimeo or YouTube videos that you expect people to watch on large screens with the sound on. Happy Scribe lets you choose between automatically captioning your videos or using our professional subtitling service. Add your video and audio files to the editor. Both file formats can be viewed and edited using a text editor such as Notepad, TextEdit, or Word. If you just want the subtitles in plain text, click. This will download the file to your Downloads folder on your computer. To add your SRT file, click No subtitles, then Add. If you want a Subrip subtitle (.srt) file, click SRT. Closed captions are captions viewers can turn on and off. SRT (Secure Reliable Transport) is an open-source video streaming protocol that brings secure high-quality, low-latency live video over the public internet. Import your MP4 video to the program by clicking Add Media, then Add Video. A few years later, Belgian filmmakers developed the method of etching captions directly onto the film print.Ĭaptions often include descriptions of other sounds in the audio track, like music, laughter, or ambient noise, so viewers who can’t hear the audio can still follow and enjoy the action. You can download subtitles of any Youtube video in. In 1947, deaf actor Emerson Romero invented captioning by inserting text frames between film frames to benefit those with hearing impairments. You can select one or both file types when setting up your batch video transcription job. Soon after the development of sound films, filmmakers began subtitling to translate dialogue or narration into different languages.Ĭaptions, however, were developed for viewers who could read the language but not hear it. Plus, customize your closed captions & export VTT. Try a Youtube url above and see how the captions will be exported. You can save youtube subtitles to your computer or to mobile phone (both iphone and android devices supported). You’ve just made your final cut, but you’ve got one more job to do to make sure as many people as possible can enjoy your video: Add subtitles or captions.Īlthough people use the terms subtitles and captions interchangeably, they began as two separate entities. How to add subtitles to any video: drag and drop your video files into Descript its that easy. You can download subtitles of any Youtube video in. You can scroll vertically if the results don't all fit in the task pane. The search results are shown in the task panel. (Otherwise, leave that box cleared, and you'll only receive search results from the pictures installed on your computer by Office 2010.) Turning on this option gives you more search results to choose from. Under Results should be, select the types of media you want included in the search results:Įnsure that Include Bing content is selected if you're connected to the internet and want images from the web included in your search results. In the Search for box, type keywords that describe the art you're looking for. The Clip Art task panel appears on the right side of the application window. Click Pop Out and then you'll see the Insert menu and the Clip Art icon.) (In Outlook, when you're using the Reading pane, there isn't an Insert menu. On the Insert tab of the toolbar ribbon, in the Images section, select Clip Art. Looking for information about adding an audio clip to a slide? See Add or delete audio in your PowerPoint presentation. You can mix and match different head/hair, face, and body parts to get just the look you want. Stickers are whimsical illustrations that can enliven any document.Ĭartoon people are cartoon-style drawings. Icons are ready-made images that you can insert, pivot, rotate, color, and resize (with no loss of quality). For more details, see Insert images, icons, and more. Select Insert > Pictures > Stock Images to see your options. Microsoft 365 doesn't have traditional clip art anymore, but as a subscriber you get several new kinds of high quality art in its place for free: high-resolution photographs, icons, cutout people, stickers, illustrations, and cartoon people. When using pictures or clip art from Bing, you're responsible for respecting copyright, and the license filter in Bing can help you choose which images to use. ( Read about Creative Commons licenses here.) The licensing filter ( Creative Commons only or All) can help you choose images that are appropriate for the use you have in mind. The image is inserted in your Office document. 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Jackets, Overskirts and Detachable Sleeves We’re lucky enough to work with some incredible accessory brands, including Sassi Holford’s own sister brand ‘ The Couture Veil’, and ‘ Dolecka Bridal’ who create stunning wedding headpieces – so we’ve put together our guide to some of our favourite tips and tricks of how using transformational bridal accessories can instantly revamp your entire look. This also works well for Autumn and Winter wedding days, where you’ll want to stay warmer during day time, but have the freedom to remove layers, and feel more relaxed for Gone are the days when it was seen as super glamorous to have a different look for your ceremony and reception 2021 brides know it’s practical too! The obvious advantage is creating a more traditional look for your ceremony whether that be religious or civil, many brides prefer to be more covered. 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We reserve the right to cancel any order due to unauthorized, altered, or ineligible use of a discount.Ī product's "Manufacturer's Age" range on Toysrus.ca & Babiesrus.ca is provided by the product's manufacturer. This promotional offer may be modified or terminated at any time without notice. This offer is not valid on previous purchases. Discount not applicable with returned merchandise total discount will be deducted from the value of any returned item to which the discount applied. Offer valid only while supplies last and not applicable to canceled orders due to out-of-stock merchandise. Add item to your shopping cart and proceed to checkout to receive discount. If your order contains items that are ineligible for "Free Shipping", you will be charged for those items. On some products, special handling fees may still apply. In these instances, the standard delivery charge will be visible during the checkout process. 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Good family time fun and gets the kids away from the TV and tech items. We can’t stop our kid from playing! In fact I purchased two more as gifts! This is an excellent game for kids - esp those who can’t read. Great game for kids!! Great quality, highly recommend! Game is also fun for adults to play along with thei little ones. Teaches child a bit of strategy which is great for their developing brains. It is also of great quality so will last a long time. |
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